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Demand remains the main weak point. The recovery in final consumption has fallen short of expectations.

Small Squid Drag Global Prices Lower as Supply Surges and Demand Lags

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Wednesday, April 08, 2026, 06:00 (GMT + 9)

Rising catches and climate uncertainty reshape deep-sea squid markets across key regions

In Week 14 (March 27–April 2), the global deep-sea squid market slipped into a clear downtrend, with falling prices led by smaller-sized products and weakening overall demand, according to Food World (Beijing).

Photo: Stockfile / FIS

The sharpest impact was seen in the Southeast Pacific, where price declines were concentrated in whole squid products. Processed items such as large heads, tail fins, and carcasses remained stable, with large heads holding at 21,700–22,000 yuan/ton (approximately US$3,000–3,040/ton). However, smaller whole squid bore the brunt of the correction: squid under 300g dropped by 600 yuan/ton (about US$83) to 15,300–15,800 yuan/ton (US$2,110–2,180/ton). Similarly, small whole squid in the 500g–1,000g range also fell by 600 yuan/ton (US$83).

Price declines were less pronounced for larger sizes. Medium whole squid slipped by just 100 yuan/ton (US$14), while large whole squid fell 250 yuan/ton (US$35). In contrast, sliced squid defied the trend, inching up to 14,700–15,000 yuan/ton (US$2,030–2,070/ton). Total platform transaction volume reached 1,452 tons, with buying activity still dominated by short-term, needs-based procurement.

On the supply side, volumes are expanding rapidly. Catches of Peruvian giant squid have reached 200,200 tons, representing 65.55% of the first-half annual quota—well ahead of schedule. High-seas fleets are maintaining strong efficiency, with daily catches averaging 5–8 tons per vessel. This surge in landings has led to a concentration of supply at ports, placing direct downward pressure on domestic spot prices.

Meanwhile, climate developments are adding uncertainty. The Peruvian coast has entered an El Niño alert phase, expected to persist through the end of 2026, with potential intensification between May and July. Although current conditions remain relatively mild, market participants increasingly expect disruptions to fish distribution, seasonal fishing patterns, and yield per unit area.

The Southwest Atlantic market is also weakening. Offshore squid prices declined across the board, again with smaller sizes hit hardest. In Argentina, resource assessments are ongoing, with immature squid accounting for 71% of catches north of 44° latitude, delaying the start of the fishing season. High-seas operations remain subdued, with daily catches averaging 2–3 tons per vessel and cumulative seasonal catches around 150 tons per vessel.

Market dynamics are diverging across sales channels. While spot prices continue to fall, trading platform prices for Argentine squid have edged higher, signaling differing supply-demand conditions between physical and forward markets.

Elsewhere, prices in the Northwest Pacific and Indian Ocean remained stable, with no significant week-on-week changes.

At the distribution level, there are early signs of tightening supply. The volume of domestically caught squid entering Zhoushan Port has declined month-on-month, offering limited short-term support to prices. However, this reduction is not sufficient to offset the broader influx of supply.

Zhoushan fishing port and its facilities. Photo: Stockfile / FIS

Demand remains the key weak point. End-user recovery has underperformed expectations, with buyers focused on clearing existing inventories rather than placing new orders. This imbalance between concentrated supply and sluggish demand continues to exert downward pressure—especially on smaller-sized squid, which has become the focal point of the current market correction.


🇯🇵 日本語版(完全翻訳)

小型イカが世界価格を押し下げ、供給急増と需要低迷が市場を圧迫

漁獲量の増加と気候不確実性が主要地域の深海イカ市場を再編

第14週(3月27日~4月2日)、世界の深海イカ市場は明確な下降トレンドに入り、小型サイズ製品を中心に価格が下落し、全体的な需要も弱含みとなった。これは**Food World(北京)**による報告である。

最も大きな影響が見られたのは東南太平洋であり、価格下落は主に丸ごとイカ製品に集中した。大型の頭部、尾ヒレ、胴体などの加工品は安定を維持し、大型頭部は**21,700~22,000元/トン(約US$3,000~3,040/トン)の水準を保った。一方、小型の丸ごとイカは調整の中心となり、300g未満のイカは600元/トン(約US$83)**下落し、**15,300~15,800元/トン(US$2,110~2,180/トン)となった。同様に、500g~1,000gの小型丸イカも600元/トン(US$83)**下落した。

大型サイズでは下落幅は限定的であった。中型丸イカは**100元/トン(US$14)の下落にとどまり、大型丸イカは250元/トン(US$35)**の下落となった。一方で、スライスイカは逆行して上昇し、14,700~15,000元/トン(US$2,030~2,070/トン)となった。取引プラットフォームの総取引量は1,452トンに達し、依然として即時需要に基づく調達が中心となっている。

供給面では、出荷が急速に進んでいる。ペルー産ジャンボイカの漁獲量は200,200トンに達し、年間前半割当の65.55%を占めており、スケジュールを大きく前倒ししている。遠洋漁業は高い効率を維持しており、1隻あたりの1日平均漁獲量は5~8トンとなっている。このような供給の集中は港湾への入荷を増加させ、国内スポット価格に直接的な下押し圧力をかけている。

一方、気候要因も市場判断に影響を及ぼし始めている。ペルー沿岸エルニーニョ警戒段階に入り、2026年末まで継続し、5月から7月にかけて強まる可能性があると予測されている。現時点では強度は比較的弱いものの、魚群分布、漁期のリズム、単位面積当たりの漁獲量に悪影響を及ぼすとの見方が強まっている。

南西大西洋市場も弱含みとなっている。沖合イカ価格は全面的に下落し、やはり小型サイズの下げ幅が大きい。アルゼンチンでは資源評価が継続中であり、南緯44度以北では未成熟個体が71%を占めており、漁期の開始が遅れている。遠洋漁獲は依然として低調で、1隻あたりの1日平均漁獲量は2~3トン、今シーズンの累計漁獲量は1隻あたり約150トンにとどまっている。

販売チャネル間では市場動向に乖離が見られる。現物価格が下落する一方で、取引プラットフォームにおけるアルゼンチン産イカの価格はわずかに上昇しており、現物市場と先物的取引の間で需給状況の違いが浮き彫りとなっている。

他の地域では、北西太平洋およびインド洋の価格は安定しており、前週比で大きな変動は見られなかった。

流通段階では供給縮小の兆しも見られる。舟山港への国内漁獲イカの入荷量は前月比で減少しており、短期的には価格の下支え要因となっているが、全体的な供給圧力を相殺するには至っていない。

需要は依然として最大の弱点である。最終需要の回復は期待を下回り、買い手は新規発注よりも在庫消化を優先している。この供給集中と需要不足のミスマッチが、特に小型サイズの原料価格に対する下押し圧力を強めており、現在の市場調整の中心となっている。


🇨🇳 简体中文版本(完全翻译)

小规格鱿鱼拖累全球价格,供应激增与需求疲软加剧市场压力

捕捞量上升与气候不确定性正在重塑主要区域的深海鱿鱼市场

第14周(3月27日至4月2日),全球深海鱿鱼市场进入明显下行趋势,小规格产品价格领跌,整体需求走弱。据**Food World(北京)**报道。

受影响最显著的是东南太平洋地区,价格下跌主要集中在整只鱿鱼产品。大头、尾鳍和胴体等加工品保持稳定,其中大头价格维持在21,700–22,000元/吨(约US$3,000–3,040/吨)。然而,小规格整只鱿鱼成为调整核心:300g以下的小鱿鱼价格下降600元/吨(约US$83),至15,300–15,800元/吨(US$2,110–2,180/吨)500g–1,000g的小规格整只鱿鱼同样下跌600元/吨(US$83)

较大规格产品跌幅相对有限。中等规格整只鱿鱼仅下降100元/吨(US$14),大规格整只鱿鱼下降250元/吨(US$35)。与此同时,鱿鱼切片逆势上涨,升至14,700–15,000元/吨(US$2,030–2,070/吨)。平台总成交量达到1,452吨,交易仍以满足即时需求为主。

在供应方面,资源释放速度较快。秘鲁巨型鱿鱼捕捞量已达200,200吨,占全年上半年配额的65.55%,明显提前完成进度。远洋作业保持高效率,单船日均捕捞量为5–8吨。资源集中到港对国内现货价格形成直接下行压力。

与此同时,气候因素开始影响市场预期。秘鲁沿海已进入厄尔尼诺预警阶段,预计将持续至2026年底,并可能在5月至7月期间增强。尽管当前强度较弱,但市场普遍预期其将对鱼群分布、渔季节奏以及单位面积产量产生不利影响。

西南大西洋市场同样走弱。近海鱿鱼价格整体下降,小规格跌幅更为明显。在阿根廷,资源评估仍在进行中,南纬44度以北捕获物中未成熟个体占比达71%,进一步推迟了开捕时间。远洋捕捞依然低迷,单船日均捕捞量约为2–3吨,本季累计捕捞量约为每船150吨

不同销售渠道之间出现价格分化。现货价格下跌的同时,交易平台上的阿根廷鱿鱼价格小幅上涨,反映出实物市场与远期交易之间的供需差异。

在其他地区,西北太平洋印度洋价格保持稳定,与上周相比没有明显波动。

在流通环节,分销端出现收缩迹象。进入舟山港的国内捕捞鱿鱼数量环比下降,为短期供应提供了一定缓冲,但不足以抵消整体到港压力。

需求依然是市场的主要短板。终端需求恢复不及预期,采购以消化库存为主,新订单有限。供给集中与需求不足之间的错配,使价格压力集中体现在原料端,尤其是小规格产品,成为本轮市场调整的核心。

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www.seafood.media


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